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The That Survive Will Be Unrecognizable

They have endured so much, and to endure this, they’ll have to adapt dramatically.

By Marina Koren
August 28, 2024

"Earth belonged to the corals first. And over hundreds of millions of years, they proved themselves remarkably good at adapting to each new version of the planet. As other groups of organisms dropped out of existence, corals endured so many catastrophes that their history reads like a biblical tale of resilience. Through mass and minor, through eruptions asteroid strikes, the corals survived.

"And for tiny marine animals, they managed to exert tremendous force on the planet’s landscape. Corals have raised whole islands into existence. They are the natural guardians of ; they sustain an estimated quarter of known . If the reefs ringing the die, an entire nation could erode into the sea. Humans live in these places because corals exist.

"The Earth that humans evolved on, in other words, is a coral planet. Today, the animals provide that support the livelihoods of about 1 billion people. They are so fundamental to life as we know it that scientists wonder if one way humanity could discover alien life is by detecting the signature of fluorescent corals in the shallow waters of another planet. Corals are also, famously, being devastated by climate change. Even in a future where they survive in some form, their transformation could make our own experience of this planet profoundly different.

"The earliest corals emerged about 500 million years ago, roughly alongside plant life on land. But the modern version of coral reefs appeared a short 4 million years ago, around the time our human ancestors began to walk upright (give or take a few million years). When researchers try to rescue suffering corals, carefully cutting pieces away and transporting them to aquariums, they’re visiting underwater metropolises that are thousands of years old. Despite all that corals have been through, given how fast conditions on Earth are changing, life has likely never been quite as stressful for them as it is now, according to the coral experts Bertrand Martin-Garin and Lucien Montaggioni in their book, Corals and Reefs.

"Earlier this month, scientists reported that ’s is sitting in water that, in one decade, has become hotter than at any other point in the past 400 years. coral colonies are still reeling from the havoc of last year’s historic . Around the world, extraordinarily hot ocean temperatures have plunged corals into one of the worst events in recorded history—they’re expelling the that live in their tissues and turning a ghostly white. Corals can survive bleaching, if conditions improve. But the longer they remain without that algae, the more likely they are to die.

"'These are strange days on planet Earth,' Derek Manzello, a coral-reef ecologist and the coordinator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Coral Reef Watch, once told me. The planet used to give corals hundreds of thousands of years to adjust to a new reality; —the burning of but also and that have brought on —have introduced a rate of change more dramatic than anything else in the geological record. “If we wanted to kill all reef-building corals on the planet, it would be hard to imagine a collection of activities quite as pointed and effective as what we’ve arrived at,' Stuart Sandin, a marine biologist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, told me."

Read more:
theatlantic.com/science/archiv

Archived copy:
archive.ph/GF6tp

The Atlantic · The Corals That Survive Climate Change Will Be UnrecognizableBy Marina Koren
Continued thread

On 21. April the (World Meteorological Organization) released their "State of the Global Climate 2022" annual report. There is no good news at all for the ; the is in full-swing. If you've not read the report, you should. You can download it from a link here -
public.wmo.int/en/media/press-

Here are the "highlights" (lowlights) from the "Key Messages" section of the WMO report. There are many excellent graphics in the report; I've only highlighted one of them here.

- Concentrations of the three main greenhouse gases – carbon dioxide , and – reached record highs in 2021, the latest year for which consolidated global values are available (1984–2021).The annual increase in methane concentration from 2020 to 2021 was the highest on record. Real-time data from specific locations show that levels of the three continued to increase in 2022.

heating - Around 90% of the energy trapped in the climate system by greenhouse gases goes into the ocean. Ocean heat content, which measures this gain in energy, reached a new observed record high in 2022.

- Despite continuing La Niña conditions, 58% of the ocean surface experienced at least one during 2022. In contrast, only 25% of the ocean surface experienced a marine cold spell.

- Global mean sea level continued to rise in 2022, reaching a new record high for the satellite altimeter record (1993–2022). The rate of global mean sea level rise has doubled between the first decade of the satellite record (1993–2002, 2.27 mm per year) and the last (2013–2022, 4.62 mm per year).

melting - In the hydrological year 2021/2022, a set of reference glaciers with long-term observations experienced an average mass balance of −1.18 metres water equivalent (m w.e.). This loss is much larger than the average over the last decade. Six of the ten most negative mass balance years on record (1950– 2022) occurred since 2015. The cumulative mass balance since 1970 amounts to more than −26 m w.e.

in , insecurity - In East , rainfall has been below average in five consecutive wet seasons, the longest such sequence in 40 years. As of August 2022, an estimated 37 million people faced acute food insecurity across the region, under the effects of the drought and other shocks.

- Record-breaking rain in July and August led to extensive flooding in .There were at least 1 700 deaths, and 33 million people were affected, while almost 8 million people were displaced. Total damage and economic losses were assessed at US$ 30 billion.

- Record-breaking heatwaves affected and during the summer. In some areas, extreme heat was coupled with exceptionally dry conditions. Excess deaths associated with the heat in Europe exceeded 15 000 in total across , , the United Kingdom #, France and