Does it feel like we’re getting more return for our investment in complexity these days? It doesn’t to me. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that the two candidates for US presidency have slogans that convey a sense of loss and diminishment. Make American Great Again. Build Back Better. Are these not tacit admissions that things haven’t been going great for a while, that we are—at best—just treading water?
A paper published in Nature last January observed that scientific research productivity is down, papers and patent applications are less novel, and research is less interdisciplinary—despite (because of?) an exponential growth in the volume of research being published. Science is less innovative, less disruptive, and yet we continue to pump out ever more paper about science.
Maybe a connection?
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05543-x
8/10